Can IBM Watson replace the doctor: see the comparison results

With the continuous exposure of IBM Watson and Google DeepMind in the medical field, artificial intelligence-assisted diagnostic tools or “smart doctors” based on big data have brought great shock to the industry. Many analysts believe that this is the future development of medical services. In the direction, and eventually there will be a phenomenon of “goat eating people”, most doctors will be laid off. What the hell is it?

At the end of 2016, at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Conference (SABCS) in the United States, the researchers reported on IBM Watson for Oncology (WFO, hereinafter referred to as Watson) and the team of human oncologists in the treatment of breast cancer, comparing the two ways Suggested treatment recommendations.

According to the study, the study used the multidisciplinary team at the Manipal Cancer Center in Bangalore, India, to input case data from 638 breast cancer patients into Watson, record the treatment recommendations given by Watson, and the time from the analysis of the data to the recommendation. At the same time, Watson's treatment recommendations are divided into three categories according to different colors: green for standard recommended treatment (REC), orange for reference (FC), and red for negative (NREC). The consistency of treatment recommendations at Watson and Manipal Cancer Centers was evaluated based on different tumor stage and receptor status.

IBM Watson与谷歌DeepMind能否取代医生

Using the Manipal Cancer Center as a reference, Watson's recommended treatment agreement is close to 80% in non-metastatic tumor cases, and recommended treatment consistency in metastatic disease is only 45%; for triple-negative breast cancer In the case, Watson gave a recommended treatment consistency of 67.9%, compared with only 35% for HER2-negative cases. Manmashal Cancer Center President Somashekhar said: Disagreement between Watson and human experts may be due to HER2 negative There are many treatment options for breast cancer. There are too many treatment variables to consider based on the HER2 status, which increases the Watson's human thinking ability. The entire comparative experiment also showed that with the increase in the complexity of the case, the disagreement between the two treatment recommendations was more.

IBM Watson与谷歌DeepMind能否取代医生

Manmashal Cancer Center Chairman Somashekhar

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