Release date: 2015-01-28
On January 24, foreign media reported that the World Health Organization data showed that the Ebola epidemic seemed to have reached a turning point, and the number of cases in the three most affected West African countries declined.
According to the British "Guardian" website reported on January 22, the number of cases reported last week was less than 150, and Sierra Leone accounted for the majority - 117 of the total. 184 cases were reported in the previous week. A total of 248 cases were reported the previous week. At the peak of December 2014, the country reported 550 cases a week. The number of new cases in Liberia has decreased significantly from more than 300 cases in the peak period of last year. The country reported a total of 8 cases this week, and the total number of Guinea was 20 cases.
Christopher Dey, Director of Strategy at the Office of the Director-General of WHO, told the BBC News website: “The incidence rates in these three countries are clearly declining. The past three weeks are by far the most inspiring 3 weeks, we Seeing that all countries have reduced cases."
The UN Special Envoy for Ebola, David Nabarro, said the epidemic is fading. But he also said: "I hope everyone is vigilant."
Nabarro is currently attending the World Economic Forum in Davos to discuss the issue of raising funds for the fight against the epidemic. He told this reporter that after governments, international organizations and philanthropists have donated $1 billion, the United Nations now hopes to increase another $1 billion.
He said: "Fundraising is very difficult. The battle against Ebola is costly."
In an interview in London recently, he said that he needs a quick and flexible response to the new outbreak, using helicopters to travel to more remote areas, transporting urgently needed medical personnel, conducting investigations to lock in contacts and ensure infection. People can be isolated and treated, and all of this requires financial security.
However, the arguments about the epidemic have changed. WHO warned in October 2014 that new cases doubled every four weeks. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has estimated that the number of cases at the end of January 2015 may reach 1.4 million.
According to the report, WHO is now halving the number of new cases. In Guinea, the fastest decline, the number is halved every 10 days. Liberia and Sierra Leone were halved every 14 days and 19 days respectively. A total of 21,724 cases have been reported so far, and the official death toll of Ebola patients is 8,641. It is believed that the actual figures are much larger.
However, experts warn that Ebola's comeback may be as fast as it disappears. “The monitoring and information sharing will be strengthened in the border areas of Guinea-Bissau, Côte d'Ivoire, Mali and Senegal, which are adjacent to the three countries with serious outbreaks,†the WHO said.
Liberia’s Minister of Information, Lewis Brown, stressed that you can’t be complacent and self-sufficient, as long as you are slightly relieved of your vigilance, it can lead to disastrous consequences. He told this reporter: "Although we have controlled the spread of the virus, although we can quickly isolate and treat patients, considering the state of our social and health infrastructure, the virus may spread very quickly and very quickly. Therefore, We must make sure that no one is mistaken for the arduous task to be done."
Source: Chinese Journal of Science
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